Tuesday, July 21, 2020

Social, political, and environmental phenomena drive the emergence of infectious disease, but we talk about magic bullets.


An ounce of prevention? Maybe next time. America is far too dipshittian for this, at least at the present time.

It’s Time to Tell a New Story About Coronavirus — Our Lives Depend on It, by Sonia Shah (The Nation)

The way we talk about contagion matters. It shapes how societies respond—and whether many of us will survive ...

 ... It’s time for a new story, one that more accurately captures the reality of how contagions unfold and why. In this story, pandemics would be cast as both a biological reality and a social phenomenon shaped by human agency. And the coronavirus, if cast as any kind of monster at all, would be a Frankenstein’s monster: a creature of our own making. We, after all, created the world in which SARS-Cov-2 evolved, one in which our industry has swallowed up so much of the planet that microbes from wild animals easily slip into livestock and humans. We created the society of overcrowded prisons and nursing homes staffed by underpaid employees who must work in multiple facilities to make ends meet; in which employers force their workers to labor on meatpacking lines even if they’re sick; in which asylum seekers are crammed into detention centers; and in which people living in hard-hit cities like Detroit lack access to clean water with which to wash their hands.

A narrative that elevates these realities would compel us to consider a much wider range of policy responses to counter the threat of pandemics. Instead of blaming outsiders and waiting for magic bullet cures, we could work to enhance our resilience and reduce the probability of pathogens reaching us in the first place. Instead of reflexively demanding that killing chemicals be slathered across the landscape to destroy mosquitoes infected by the West Nile virus and ticks infected with Lyme disease bacteria, we could restore the lost biodiversity that once prevented their spread. We could protect the forests where bats roost, so that Ebola, SARS, and other viruses stay in them and don’t find their way into human populations.

A new story would allow us to see contagion as more than a purely biomedical phenomenon to be managed by biomedical experts and, instead, as the dynamic social phenomena they are. It would necessitate new alliances among public health advocates and environmentalists, between doctors, epidemiologists, wildlife biologists, anthropologists, economists, geographers, and veterinarians. It would shift the meaning of human health itself. Instead of thinking of good health as the absence of pathogenic contamination, we would understand it as a complex latticework linking the health of our livestock, wildlife, and ecosystems to the health of our communities.

When pathogens emerge, we could scrutinize our social and economic relations to find ways to reduce transmission opportunities as attentively as we screen pharmaceutical compounds to create new pills and potions. When we encounter respiratory pathogens that spread silently in crowded places, we could empower our workers with hazard pay, sick leave, and fair wages. When faced with viruses ferried around by mosquitoes, we could work to improve drainage and housing so that people aren’t regularly exposed to their bloodthirsty bites. Rather than prop up a drug industry that profits from our sickness, we could work to prevent the conditions that lead to contagions.

Progress toward this new paradigm has already begun, thanks to a new approach called One Health, which considers human health in the context of the health of wildlife, livestock, and ecosystems. As a theoretical approach, One Health has been endorsed by the WHO along with a wide range of high-level agencies in public health and veterinary medicine. It’s been operationalized, on a more limited basis, as well. After a 2005 outbreak of avian influenza, USAID used it to launch the Predict program, which sought to identify viruses that could slip from animals into humans. The New York City–based EcoHealth Alliance used a One Health approach to discover a reservoir of SARS virus in bats, opening up new ways to understand the coronaviruses that afflict humans. And in the Netherlands, it’s been used to tackle the spread of antibiotic-resistant pathogens in people, by addressing the use of antibiotics in livestock.

These still-nascent efforts could go much further to address the social, political, and environmental phenomena that drive the emergence of infectious disease, but they are already under attack ...

Monday, July 20, 2020

Legacy Pizza & Bakery aims to include dine-in service by September, so read all about it.


On Monday, Legacy Pizza & Bakery (1001 Vincennes) issued a progress report on Facebook. It's a family business doing it the old-school way, with great food and hard work.

Not a misprint, because Legacy Pizza and Bakery has OPENED in New Albany (April 23)


The short version: business has been very good and the Doerings are embarking on phase two, which is finishing the interior for dine-in service. This will require a shortening of business hours for the next six weeks, until the remodeling is complete.

Opening a carryout-only pizzeria during a pandemic may have seemed crazed at the time, but if you've had Legacy's food, it's obvious that the quality can't be denied. What's more, being open for pizza at the same time as two of the city's biggest pizza purveyors were closed -- Wick's (permanently, it appears) and NABC Pizzeria & Public House until August (we think) -- is savvy, to put it simply. 

Follow the Facebook link to read the entire statement. Here's the cheat sheet:

Our temporary hours will be Wednesday-Saturday, 12-9, Sunday 3-8. We do very little business before 3 on Sundays, and Tuesdays are our slowest day of the week and being closed back to back on Mondays and Tuesdays will allow us to complete bigger projects and will not disrupt service.

It's all about lines of sight, isn't it?


Come to think of it, lighting up the Sherman Minton might make sense after all.

As a reminder, NA Confidential has maintained a strict neutrality about proposals to "light up" the bridge. Whether this equanimity will survive the pandemic is another question entirely, but for now it holds.

Previously:

Here's a "Light the Sherman" (Minton bridge) update.

Sunday, July 19, 2020

Sunday Fact Fest, Episode 05: "The Plague of Athens, Hippocrates and what they tell us about COVID-19," by Marty Rosen.


Riffing on the preceding post, Sunday Fact Fest, Episode 04: Robin's right. Some Louisville (and SoIN) restaurants are not taking the COVID-19 pandemic as seriously as they should," Marty Rosen's F&D column last week was brilliant.

Here is the beginning:

Letter from the Editor: The Plague of Athens, Hippocrates and what they tell us about COVID-19, by Marty Rosen (Food & Dining Magazine)

In the early days of the epidemic, a spate of newspaper and magazine pieces delved into classic literary works dealing with contagion. Writers tended to focus on a trio of books on the theme: The Plague (1947) by Albert Camus; A Journal of the Plague Year (1722); and The Decameron (1353) by Giovanni Boccaccio.

All of those are worth a read.

But as with nearly everything in Western culture, the seminal writings on plagues, pestilence, and epidemics have come down to us from Greek writers who lived 2500 years ago.

And the hard-hitting conclusion.

The coronavirus epidemic, like the Plague of Athens – and all such disasters – is a medical and scientific challenge that calls for cool, rational analysis and evidence by people who are wise and disinterested, and free of superstition. It’s a challenge that calls for leaders whose eyes are wide-open and whose only motivation is the health and safety of their people.

Social media – and plenty of official political discourse – is now running over with bogus “information,” some of it carefully curated to look like science, including excerpts from actual scientific papers to advance arguments that the authors never intended. Logic, evidence, and rational analysis – the stuff that Hippocrates called for – are confronted with conspiracy theories, superstition, and insane claims about cleaning fluid cures.

People with not a shred of actual scientific knowledge are pretending that they’ve discovered loopholes in the medical and scientific reality of the coronavirus.

Don’t fall for it.

Don’t share it.

Keep your eyes open.

Be a citizen.

Wash your hands.

Keep your distance.

Ask for citations.

Sunday Fact Fest, Episode 04: Robin's right. Some Louisville (and SoIN) restaurants are not taking the COVID-19 pandemic as seriously as they should."


The link:

Robin Garr’s Taj Palace review at LEO: Great food and pandemic precautions, by me at Food & Dining Magazine.

My Saturday morning post at Food & Dining Magazine came about because Robin Garr did something that writers should strive always to do. His words at LEO Weekly stood me up, slapped me down, and said to me what needed to be said.

Restaurant and bar owners who aren't tasking the pandemic seriously are helping to put others at risk.

The majority of media mavens covering the restaurant and bar industry aren't holding them accountable, including me. Maybe it's time for this to change; I'm not sure it even matters given the culture of abject denial hereabouts, but what I know is that denial can only make it worse. What I can do about it as just one person isn't yet clear to me. In the meantime, it makes me even more grateful to work for people who GET IT.

My words:

 ... Billy Joel was right; honesty is such a lonely word, inside or outside “the business.” Speaking as one who owned a restaurant and brewery for 25 years, your peers function as a professional family. We stay together, and we take care of our own. There are times when some of one’s brothers and sisters err, and the understandable instinct is to keep it in the family. I’ve done so in the past, and on some occasions, I’ve come to regret it. Telling the truth might have forestalled subsequent, larger problems for everyone.

Little white lies, fudging, averting the gaze, looking the other way? They’re incompatible with the duties of journalists, analysts and reviewers, for whom credibility is dependent on being truthful. It doesn’t mean click bait, cultivating confrontation or trolling, although there might be occasional heated discussions with the folks who sell advertising.

That’s where experience comes to the fore; been there, seen that, able to synthesize information, and capable of saying what needs to be said – factually, sans hyperbole. It’s neither calling out, nor cancel culture. It’s very much about rewarding the positive performers, not the negative deniers.

I’ll shut up now. Kudos to Taj Palace, a restaurant I’ve yet to patronize but intend to visit soon for carryout, now that Robin has explained to me exactly what I need to know: “Taj Palace takes tasty Indian fare and pandemic safety seriously.”

Robin's words:

There’s no way to put this but bluntly: I don’t think some Louisville restaurants are taking the COVID-19 pandemic as seriously as they should. Why the worry?

You probably saw the news item about 11 Louisville businesses that got inspection blasts from Metro Public Health & Wellness over the Fourth of July weekend for failing to follow COVID-19 safety guidelines.

This matters: When I’m deciding where to dine during this pandemic, I want to have confidence that the restaurant’s management doesn’t slack off on health and safety.

Sunday Fact Fest, Episode 03: "How the ‘15-Minute City’ Could Help Post-Pandemic Recovery."


Automobile supremacy is a virus, too. 

How the ‘15-Minute City’ Could Help Post-Pandemic Recovery, by Patrick Sisson (CityLab)

A new C40 Cities report touts Paris’s model for putting essentials within close walking or biking distance as an economic boost for coronavirus-ravaged municipal budgets.

The Covid-19 crisis in the U.S. has torn a hole in city budgets, decimating urban economies across the country even as infections continue to roar back and the specter of second-wave lockdowns loom. Las Vegas faces “the most serious fiscal crisis” it’s ever faced. The pandemic is hitting Houston’s finances harder than Hurricane Harvey, according to Mayor Sylvester Turner. Tallahassee, Florida, city officials are trying to “defuse a time bomb” due to $23.4 million in lost revenue this year. Local governments may face a cumulative shortfall of hundreds of billions of dollars, small businesses are closing at staggering rates, and when the temporary boost in unemployment benefits expires, municipal sales tax shortfalls may get even worse.

An international coalition of cities believes that the only path forward for mayors is funding green stimulus plans focused on job creation. The newly released Mayors’ Agenda for a Green and Just Recovery, released July 15 by C40 Cities, an international coalition of urban leaders focused on fighting climate change and promoting sustainable development, was developed by the organization’s Global Mayors COVID-19 Recovery Task Force. The far-ranging series of plans offers a green prescription for financial stabilization that emphasizes several familiar pillars of progressive urbanism — renewable energy investment, energy-efficient buildings, improved mass transit, and spending on new parks and green space. One core idea: Cities are the “engines of the recovery,” and investing in their resilience is the best way to avoid economic disaster.

One of its recommendations has a more novel ring to it. The agenda recommends that “all residents will live in ‘15-minute cities.’” That term echoes the transformative ambitions of Paris Mayor Anne Hidalgo, who has doubled down on car-free transit and pedestrian infrastructure in the French capital. Hidalgo made the idea that Parisians should be able to meet their shopping, work, recreational and cultural needs within a 15-minute walk or bike ride a centerpiece of her recent reelection campaign. The C40 proposal suggests that following such a model would help global cities live up to the document’s promise of equitable access to jobs and city services for all, and rebuild areas economically hard-hit by the pandemic.

“Fifteen-minute cities, micromobility, and more space for walking and biking are innovative solutions that will help our cities rebuild and restore our economy while protecting lives and cutting dangerous pollution,” Carol M. Browner, former EPA administrator and board chair of the League of Conservation Voters, said in a statement supporting the agenda ...

Sunday Fact Fest, Episode 02: COVID death surge? It's real, and "the virus has done exactly what public-health experts expected."

Welcome to the ICU, Libertarians.

Narcissists don't care about others. When you don't care about others, it's easier to rationalize when they die. Let the rationalizations renew; after all, it's an election year.

A Second Coronavirus Death Surge Is Coming, by Alexis C. Madrigal (The Atlantic, via Medium)

There was always a logical, simple explanation for why cases rose through the end of June while deaths did not

... There is no mystery in the number of Americans dying from COVID-19.

Despite political leaders trivializing the pandemic, deaths are rising again: The seven-day average for deaths per day has now jumped by more than 200 since July 6, according to data compiled by the COVID Tracking Project at The Atlantic. By our count, states reported 855 deaths today, in line with the recent elevated numbers in mid-July.

The deaths are not happening in unpredictable places. Rather, people are dying at higher rates where there are lots of COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations: in Florida, Arizona, Texas, and California, as well as a host of smaller southern states that all rushed to open up.

The deaths are also not happening in an unpredictable amount of time after the new outbreaks emerged. Simply look at the curves yourself. Cases began to rise on June 16; a week later, hospitalizations began to rise. Two weeks after that — 21 days after cases rose — states began to report more deaths. That’s the exact number of days that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has estimated from the onset of symptoms to the reporting of a death.


Many people who don’t want COVID-19 to be the terrible crisis that it is have clung to the idea that more cases won’t mean more deaths. Some Americans have been perplexed by a downward trend of national deaths, even as cases exploded in the Sun Belt region. But given the policy choices that state and federal officials have made, the virus has done exactly what public-health experts expected.

When states reopened in late April and May with plenty of infected people within their borders, cases began to grow. COVID-19 is highly transmissible, makes a large subset of people who catch it seriously ill, and kills many more people than the flu or any other infectious disease circulating in the country.

Sunday Fact Fest, Episode 01: Racism is "The Lingering Legacy of America's First Cookie-Cutter Suburb."


Looks like Hell for Certain, at least to me.

The Lingering Legacy of America's First Cookie-Cutter Suburb, by Winnie Lee (Atlas Obscura)

... While the Levitts successfully turned their business plan into a quintessential symbol of family values, Levittown also was a symbol of exclusion. William Levitt, in charge of the housing development’s marketing and sales, did not sell houses to families of color. A clause in the standard lease for the first Levitt houses baldly stated that the homes could not “be used or occupied by any person other than members of the Caucasian race.” Government policies at the time, such as those of the Federal Housing Administration, supported such racist practices, blocking Black Americans and other people of color from the new suburbs and homeownership. An opposing group, the Committee to End Discrimination in Levittown, formed to fight the racism with protests and leaflets. The Supreme Court ruled in 1948 that house covenants with racial restrictions were “unenforceable” and unconstitutional, six years before the ruling on racial integration in Brown v. Board of Education.

Friday, July 17, 2020

Strong Towns Throwback Friday: "We should not be asking engineers to design streets."


There'll come a time when the critique can be renewed. Until then, we'll live with the myriad errors.

design-streets">Engineers should not design streets, by Charles Marohn (Strong Towns)

Last Friday I was participating in the 5th Annual Mayor's Bike Ride in Duluth following a week spent sharing the Strong Towns message on the Iron Range. The friendly woman riding next to me asked me what could be done to to better educate engineers so they would start to build streets that were about more than simply about moving cars. My answer rejected the premise of the question: We should not be asking engineers to design streets ...

A mask resolution remains useless BUT our city council is showing signs of a pulse.


Our 2023 municipal election season kicked off on Thursday night with a city council meeting, where the NA Confidential Leadership Axiom was tested in abstentia: Spare the Rod, Spoil the Councilman.

In short, everyone agreed to agree on a useless measure, while at least a few of those agreeing indicated that they'd agree to make it more substantive.

Okay, point taken.

It was mostly ridiculous theater, but points will be awarded for ... for ... well, I honestly don't know, but a pandemic is important, and maybe they'll yet get it right through the haze of partisan politics.

New Albany Mask Measure Stops Short Of Mandate, by John Boyle (WFPL)

Members of the New Albany City Council unanimously approved a resolution that “recommends and strongly encourages” the city’s citizens to wear face masks as coronavirus cases continue to increase across the country.

The resolution approved Thursday evening is not a mandate, meaning people are not required to wear masks. There are also no penalties for those who do not comply with the recommendation.

Thursday, July 16, 2020

ON THE AVENUES: Daniil Kharms, Marina Malich, and writing for the drawer about nothing ... pre-Seinfeld.


A while back one of my friends suggested a book. At first I had my doubts, but then decided I shouldn't reject such a gesture without at least a few minutes of browsing.

I did so, and a tad intrigued, proceeded to purchase Today I Wrote Nothing: The Selected Writings of Daniil Kharms and to read the book cover to cover in a week's time, proving yet again how much there is for us to learn, even when it comes from unexpected or obscure places.

And Kharms (1905-1942), a Russian writer from so far away that it might as well be a different galaxy, was the very personification of obscurity.

To be perfectly honest, I hadn't heard of Kharms at all until now, even though a big chunk of my life 35 years ago was consumed by studying Russian and Soviet culture. Then again, Kharms wasn't really known by his own countrymen until the post-Soviet era, a mere 60 years too late for this recognition to matter.

As an aside (or else there won't be enough words to fill this column) I might have gotten serious back then about learning the Russian language, and perhaps taken the youthful obsession further, but for whatever reason it didn't happen. My interests shifted, and that's the way it goes.

The fascination remains, albeit muted; pushed back a bit to one side, waiting to be aroused again, as it was a few years back when the brewery at Bank Street Brewhouse was active, and we began receiving regular e-mails from locales in the former USSR asking us to send them bottle caps, labels and various collectibles -- at our expense, naturally.

However, it struck a chord with me. This request is from 2014; I described it in a brief series at my beer blog.

---

If you own a brewery or work for one, you've probably fielded e-mail inquiries from overseas asking for keepsakes ... to me, there is something compelling and yet haunting about these foreign requests, which tend to come from Central/Eastern European locales, places of longtime personal interest to me historically and geographically. They speak to my inner melancholic. Lately, I've been pasting their addresses into Google Maps and seeing what their places of residence look like.

Yekaterinburg lies a thousand miles to the east of Moscow, and is the fourth-largest city in Russia, now boasting 1.3 million inhabitants and a skyscraper-filled city center. You may remember Yekaterinburg as the place where the Romanov dynasty came to a barbaric close.

Oleg lives in one of the classic "rabbit hutch" blocks of flats constructed during Soviet times.



"I collect souvenirs from various beer companies and brands," writes Oleg. "I'd love to get some items from you, if it is possible. I am interested in labels, stickers, crown caps, beer mats, openers, lanyards and other branded items."

Ironically, given that only recently I name-dropped Klement Gottwald (the first Czechoslovak Communist kingpin), Oleg lives on Gotvalda Street.

Is there a Tsar Nicholas II Street in Yekaterinburg?

---

Kharms (the name was his own later invention) was born in St. Petersburg, later recast by the Soviets as Leningrad before changing back when the USSR disintegrated.

His father was a revolutionary who eventually was incarcerated, emerging from prison as a sort of born-again Orthodox Christian. Still, St. Petersburg was one of the most cosmopolitan locales in Tsarist Russia, and perhaps because of this Kharms displayed artistic inclinations from the start.

As a writer, Kharms eventually became somewhat known for authoring children's books, although he was said to have disliked children. Any income stream in a storm, because Kharms' times were tumultuous, and he could never be sure of a paycheck.

It is often forgotten that during the very first post-civil war years of Soviet rule in the 1920s, there was a flowering of the progressive and avant-garde in literature, art, music, even architecture. After all, Russian society had been liberated from Tsarist and capitalist repression. Freedom had arrived. Artistic expression wasn't necessarily counter to Marxism, was it?

As time passed and the screws of Communist Party control tightened, the answer to this question changed radically, from "not necessarily" to "yes, in fact it is -- always."

The gray areas yielded to black and white, and if artistic expression was not precisely suiting the party's present needs, then by definition it was hurting them. Middle ground didn't exist with outright sabotage.

Unfortunately Kharms chose the role of the eccentric, roaming the streets in a sort of Sherlock Holmes outfit, staging counter-cultural events, poetry readings and various other stunts. The authorities were not amused, but Kharms managed to stay upright on thin ice until the late 1920s, when Stalinism began.

After Lenin's death in 1924 it wasn't clear who would succeed him at the apex of the apparatus. Amid a group of aspirant Bolshevik intellectuals, the peasant Joe Stalin wasn't expected to be in the running, but Stalin, like many a psychopath, specialized in precisely the sort of rules-free amok scrums that many of his better qualified comrades shunned as beneath their skills.

In a classic case study of divide-and-conquer, Stalin quickly climbed the ladder and instituted a dictatorial career of eliminating rivals, from the highest communist apparatchik to the lowest dishwasher at a dumpling dispensary in a Siberian province. The idea was to instill fear via the sheer randomness of cruelty.

Stalin's charges against his victims routinely were trumped-up and fictitious, although with Kharms they didn't really need to be imagined. Artists of his obtuseness and spirited independence weren't Stalin's cup of Joe. Unwilling to toe the line, Kharms was doomed in the workers' paradise, and the only question was how the end would come -- quickly or slowly, with bureaucratic creativity, or just the standard, requisite bullet to the brain in a KGB cellar somewhere.

---

In 1931 Kharms was sent to prison, survived the sentence, and returned home to start over again, whereupon he ran headlong into one of the perverse ironies of the Soviet system. Marxist-Leninist ideology decreed universal employment. It was illegal to be unemployed, and everyone was required to work; otherwise, those without jobs were parasites subject to arrest, but since the the government was in effect the only employer, it decided who worked and who did not.

As such, the state owned the printing presses, newspapers and publishing houses, denying access to these by Kharms, who was not sent to the gulag to break rocks, but isolated at home, blackballed from being published. The hoary "publish or perish" dictum became literally true, and the ensuing impoverishment grew increasingly desperate during the 1930s. Hunger was a constant specter hovering above Kharms and his second wife Marina Malich.

We all understand that chronic malnutrition is a ticking time bomb, affecting mental health as well as physical well being. Consequently Kharms' output was erratic. His exhibitionist behavior always had been calculated. Now it wasn't as clear that he had complete control over it.

Accordingly Kharms' short stories, poems and notes ("absurdist" may or may not be the correct term) were written for "the drawer" alone, this implying the desk drawer, and those surviving writings of his from the period prior to World War II, some fully formed, others just fragments, were lucky to have been saved from Leningrad's devastation by Malich and friends -- or else there'd be almost nothing to remember him by.

When the Nazis invaded the USSR, the gloves came off. Stalin quickly rounded up those viewed as potential liabilities in wartime. It is thought that Kharms had at first avoided conscription by being declared mentally ill; he'd already spoken openly against the coming war and vowed to avoid military service, leading some to surmise that by this point the many years of physical deprivation really had led to Kharms losing his mind. We'll probably never know for sure.

As the war turned dire for the Soviets, Kharms was jailed in an insane asylum in Leningrad, which promptly was surrounded by the Germans in what became a 900-day-long siege, human history's longest and most costly in terms of civilian lives lost. There was a feeble plan to try to evacuate mental detainees, but Kharms already was gone. Officially the cause of death was starvation, although in truth, at the age of 36 there wasn't much left of him, anyway.

This calls to mind one of Kharms' most enjoyable, brief jewels, referred to now as "Blue Notebook No. 2."
Once there was a redheaded man without eyes and without ears. He had no hair either, so that he was a redhead was just something they said.
He could not speak, for he had no mouth. He had no nose either.
He didn't even have arms or legs. He had no stomach either, and he had no back, and he had no spine, and no intestines of any kind. He didn't have anything at all. So it is hard to understand whom we are really talking about.
So it is probably best not to talk about him any more.
---

For an idea of Kharms' literary range, interested readers can visit the Google Books repository and see enough there to get an impression. There is a lengthy introduction by the translator, who provides much biographical information. At the end of the book is a small section of notes providing explanations for certain people associated with Kharms, concepts, geographical references, and the like.

One of them is about Kharms' wife, Marina Malich, which left me wanting to know more about her.

Marina Malich
Kharms married his second wife Marina Vladimirovna Malich (1909-2003) in 1934 soon after they had met through her sister Olga, whom Kharms had been courting. In 1942, after finding out that her husband had died in prison, Malich managed to escape the blockade of Leningrad, but was later taken captive by the Germans. Through a series of seemingly miraculous events, she escaped Germany to Paris as the Allies were bombing Berlin. Her mother, who had abandoned her as a child, lived in Nice with a man named Wycheslavzoff. When Marina came to see her mother in Nice, Wycheslavzoff took a liking to her, and soon she becae pregnant. She moved with him to Paris, and later Venezuela. After they separated, malich married Yury Dournovo, a taxi driver of Russian aristocratic lineage living in Caracas in a community of Russians and other displaced emigres. Malich lived more than half her life in South America. She left a memoir about her life with Daniil Kharms and about her miraculous World War II journey (co-written with Vladimir Glotzer). She died in Atlanta, Georgia, shortly after the millennium.

What a story! It's an amazing life. For more background on Malich, read "Together in love, work and legacy" at Rossiyskaya Gazeta, where the essay includes information about Nadezhda Mandelstam and Elena Bulgakov, the wives of poet Osip Mandelstam and novelist Mikhail Bulgakov.

Let's drink to the life of Daniil Kharms, who fully anticipated social media during a pandemic.

I am interested only in "nonsense"; only in that which makes no practical sense. I am interested in life only in its absurd manifestations.

---

Recent columns:

July 9: ON THE AVENUES: Mask up, folks. Pints&union is coming back, and we're taking precautions.

July 5: ON THE AVENUES took a week off. Here's what I've been writing while on holiday.

June 25: ON THE AVENUES: I’m invisible, so will you stop insisting you see me?

June 18: ON THE AVENUES: Anything except common, that Kentucky Common.

Existentialism is a philosophy for secular humanists like me, who seek freedom from government-imposed religious practices.


Have you noticed that quite many of the anti-maskers arguing in favor of "freedom" to disregard public health measures from "big government" are the same ones who support mandatory national anthem observances, "under God" as part of the pledge of allegiance, and the requiring that atheists swear on bibles -- when these stipulations are onerous for pagans like us?

State-established religion doesn't bother them. Saving lives does. How very strange.

Existentialism: a philosophy for secular humanists, by James A. Haught (at Freedom from Religion Foundation)

... In the 1950s ... existentialism burst onto the global scene like a tidal wave of new thinking.

It said, yes, life is absurd and ultimately pointless. We find ourselves living lives, but we don’t know why we are here. We are doomed to die without ever knowing why we were “thrown into the world.” The only thing we have is our own individual lives, which are temporary. We exist — period — which provides the name: existentialism. We are “condemned to be free,” to live inside our own minds and skulls, separated from others.

And yet, no matter how much chaos and cruelty are around us, each of us has no choice but to formulate values and decide how we will behave, personally. We must craft an “authentic” life for ourselves, regardless of what the surrounding society does ...

Now more than ever, when surrounding society seems to have gone bat-shit crazy ... with my apologies to bats, which possess a high degree of "creature integrity."

Somehow, existentialism seems a perfect philosophy for secular humanists — for nonconformists who can’t embrace the majority god-chanting and war-fever chest-thumping and entrenched unfairnesses of society all around them. It’s for misfit thinkers who see the world as half-loony, so they each seek a private, personal path, outside the mainstream, trying to be honest and devoted to values that seem right to them alone.

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

A fact-filled letter to the city council supporting a mask ordinance, authored by Mrs. Kate Caufield.


We've been talking about this for the last two days. Doing so by no means compromises my sabbatical; after all, the topic is health, medical science and public safety.

Politics is the seasoning, not the main course.

Pandemically speaking, a mask ordinance is NECESSARY in NA, rather than a non-binding resolution. Democrats can do it, if they choose.

Our position on last weekend's proms, COVID, and YOUR malignant narcissism.

Typically toothless city council mask resolution proves that even a pandemic can't compel New Albany’s Democrats to actually GOVERN.


Following is a letter written to city council members yesterday by Kate Caufield.

---

Good afternoon, New Albany city council members!

I'm writing today to urge you to adopt a mask ordinance for the City of New Albany, when indoors or in areas where social distancing cannot be observed.

We are in a pandemic.

There are some things we know for sure about COVID-19, regardless of our personal views as to the politics of a virus (viruses aren't political and don't much care whether you attribute their existence to US politics or not, and are just happy to have a host.) We know that there are several risk factors that cause citizens to become infected more easily, more severely, and with higher mortality rates than others.

These risk factors include:

  • Age
  • Obesity
  • Heart Conditions
  • Kidney Conditions
  • Type 2 Diabetes
  • COPD
  • Anyone immuno-compromised (cancer, etc)
  • Smoking
  • Asthma
  • Type 1 Diabetes
  • Autoimmune disorders

Source: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/need-extra-precautions/people-with-medical-conditions.html

There are many people that don't believe they are at increased risk, or that the higher risk only includes other people, but not them.

The truth is, those most at risk of the worst effects of COVID-19 aren't a small percentage of our city's residents.

34.8% of New Albanians are over 50. 
https://www.towncharts.com/Indiana/Demographics/New-Albany-city-IN-Demographics-data.html

31.4% of Hoosiers are obese, making us the 8th most obese state in the nation. https://www.newsandtribune.com/news/clark_county/indiana-s-obesity-ranking-is-8th-among-50-states/article_4eda5a8a-c816-5ca7-ba84-396cd34a2407.html

12.9% of Hoosiers have a diabetes diagnosis. 
http://main.diabetes.org/dorg/PDFs/Advocacy/burden-of-diabetes/indiana.pdf

35.2% of adults in Indiana have high blood pressure. 
https://thestacker.com/stories/4150/states-populations-most-vulnerable-covid-19

7% of the US population suffers from some autoimmune disorder. https://www.gene.com/stories/autoimmune-disease-101

21.8% of Hoosiers smoke. 
https://truthinitiative.org/research-resources/smoking-region/tobacco-use-indiana-2019

10% of Hoosiers have asthma.
https://www.cdc.gov/asthma/most_recent_data_states.htm

While I can't extrapolate the true percentage of Americans, Hoosiers, or New Albanians who are at risk, it is not a small amount and at the most cursory of glances is 30% plus.

30%+ plus of New Albanians are high risk for COVID-19.

Because of this, I am asking that we come together as a city and show empathy, compassion, and goodwill towards each other, by wearing a mask. I had certainly hoped that we could do so on our own. However, a walk through the grocery store, hardware store, or department store shows that selfishness abounds. 

Indeed, this past weekend, parents organized a social event for their children that brought in 160+ teenagers without masks and without social distancing, and with no regard to others' health- not to mention those of their families who may fall into that 30% plus with an increased risk from the virus.

Are masks effective in helping prevent COVID-19? The answer is YES. Please see this study from the University of California at San Francisco. This article provides links to several studies: https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2020/06/417906/still-confused-about-masks-heres-science-behind-how-face-masks-prevent

If a western institute of learning isn't worth your perusal, please consider this from the Mayo Clinic. MASKS ARE EFFECTIVE. 
https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/coronavirus/in-depth/coronavirus-mask/art-20485449

In closing, I've provided evidence that the risk for New Albany residents is substantially higher than it appears, due to the enhanced risk factors above. 

Additionally, I've also provided evidence that masks DO WORK in the fight against COVID. Please do the right thing -- not the selfish or political thing, the RIGHT thing -- and pass a mandatory mask mandate for New Albany when one is inside or cannot social distance outside.

There's nothing wrong with adding language that calls for review at each City Council meeting, either, as we learn more.

Thank you.

Kate Caufield

Pandemically speaking, a mask ordinance is NECESSARY in NA, rather than a non-binding resolution. Democrats can do it, if they choose.


The COVID-19 pandemic is a public health issue, but because "public" means all of us and not merely some, the pandemic's ramifications affect the entire community.

Inevitably, those measures required to deal with a public health crisis of this magnitude must emanate from government as the only conceivable arbiter of the maximum protection for all citizens, not just some.

Yes, I know; public health has become political during the pandemic.

Of course it has. 

Politics is the art and practice of defining power, accumulating power and distributing power. This power is required to make sense of coordinated responses to the pandemic, and we have seen a variety of examples as how it is to be used, or not used, in this escalating situation.

There is a consensus among those trained to consider such matters that masks, while imperfect, are one simple way of restricting the transmission of the coronavirus, along with proper hygiene and social distancing.

Is simple persuasion enough to increase the proportion of purported adults wearing masks, or is something more required?

Unfortunately, no, not alone, although persuasion ultimately is best.

It is my position that New Albany's civic power structure -- ideally bipartisan, but we'll take progress any way we can -- must extract political capital from its seldom-opened wallet and spend it now, when it matters most, in an effort to mandate what simple persuasion doesn't seem to be achieving.

Democrats control the executive and legislative branches of government in New Albany, with a mayor and five council persons. That's a veto-proof majority. Democratic party power in the city is at its highest level in my lifetime.

From the redevelopment commission down to the newest employee at the street department, the vast majority of appointments and sinecures have been the result of Democratic Party patronage. None of the elected officials will be seeking re-election until 2023, and the mayor's success last year in achieving a third consecutive term while increasing his margin of victory gives him a level of power that approaches the zenith of what's ever been witnessed in this city.

Isn't it time to use some of this power?

If this power isn't to be deployed as a means of alleviating risk even to a small degree during the public health crisis of an unprecedented pandemic, when exactly is the right time to consider deploying it?

Concurrently, resolutions are piffle. Anything is better than nothing, and in our form of municipal governance, city council resolutions count for nothing, perhaps even less than nothing.

They're mere statements of intent, required here and there for legal reasons, but otherwise toothless. The coronavirus can be counted upon not to read whatever toothless resolutions this or any other city council authors.

Democrats -- c'mon, really? In political terms, this is a gift. It cannot be about waiting on a Republican governor to mandate masks statewide. It needs to be about illustrating what must be done statewide, doing it locally, and making a head start in our own city.

You have the council votes. Wait ... you DO have the council votes, don't you?

Please tell me that the Democratic Party is united on the topic of a rational, sensible response to a public health crisis, especially when the irrational, insensible response by the Trumpians is final verification of the GOP's fondness for death cults.

Talk of a resolution has been an understandable trial balloon, and a reconnoitering of the perimeter. Good work. Now ditch it, and let's get the ordinance we need for the problem we have -- and yes --  undertake to enforce it.

Even if the enforcement is ineffectual, when it comes to a pandemic something is better than nothing in terms of a response. You can do this. Really.

Here's an article from today's IndyStar, detailing the ways we're losing ground to the coronavirus statewide.

 ... One interim measure many public health experts would like to see is a statewide mask mandate.

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Four counties, including Marion, and two cities already have put such a measure in place. Increasingly evidence has shown that masks may help prevent the spread of the virus, just as data once attested to the wisdom of wearing a seat belt.

Many other states, including some led by Republican governors, already have taken this step. Two weeks ago Holcomb said he believed that Hoosiers would do the right thing, so rather than mandating masks, he unveiled a public service awareness campaign #MaskUpHoosiers, which encourages them to do so.

But many public health experts say they support a stronger message.

“A lot of times these public health mandates are needed,” said Shandy Dearth, director of the undergraduate epidemiology program at Indiana University’s Fairbanks School of Public Health. “Now is really the time to take more public health action to keep those numbers lower so we don’t have a strain on the public health system.”

Tuesday, July 14, 2020

Texas Rangers? "The team’s name is not so far off from being called the Texas Klansmen."


Something else I've learned today. The argument is convincing. Just call the team the Texas Horny Toads from now on, and be done with it.

The Texas Rangers’ team name must go, by Karen Attiah (The Washington Post)

As the Washington football team finally gives up its racist slur of a name, there is one major sports team that has avoided the spotlight and resisted meaningful engagement with the violent and racist implications of its name. To know the full history of the Texas Rangers is to understand that the team’s name is not so far off from being called the Texas Klansmen.

I grew up in Dallas, raised on myths about Texas Rangers as brave and wholesome guardians of the Texas frontier, helping protect innocent settlers from violent Indians. At church, boys could sign up to be Royal Rangers, the Christian equivalent of the Boy Scouts. I still remember the excitement when Chuck Norris himself, star of the television show “Walker, Texas Ranger,” came to visit my elementary school class.

My dad sometimes took my younger siblings and me to Arlington Stadium to watch the Rangers play. No state mythologizes itself quite like Texas, so of course, it made sense to have a team name that embodied that gauzy, self-regarding history. At the same time, being from a Ghanaian immigrant family, we weren’t that invested in baseball, or the team name. I just liked going because my dad would sometimes let me take sips of his Coca-Cola mixed with beer.

What we didn’t realize at the time was that the Rangers were a cruel, racist force when it came to the nonwhites who inhabited the beautiful and untamed Texas territory. The first job of the Rangers, formed in 1835 after Texas declared independence from Mexico, was to clear the land of Indian for white settlers.

That was just the start. The Rangers oppressed black people, helping capture runaway slaves trying to escape to Mexico; in the aftermath of the Civil War, they killed free blacks with impunity. “The negroes here need killing,” a Ranger wrote in a local newspaper in 1877, after Rangers fired on a party of black former Buffalo soldiers, killing four of them and a 4-year old girl. A jury would later find that the black soldiers “came to their death while resisting officers in the discharge of their duty,” an unsettling echo of the justification for modern-day police killings ...

Here's a breathtakingly novel thought: "We wear (a mask) for you, please wear one for us."


And this.


And this.


Three different craft brewing entities, but a central point: mask up and make it easier for them to stay in business.

Or, easier for us, right here in New Albany.

But do local operators in New Albany share a universal view of science? My guess, and it's just that -- a guess -- is the answer might surprise you.

In other news ...

Typically toothless city council mask resolution proves that even a pandemic can't compel New Albany’s Democrats to actually GOVERN.

Our position on last weekend's proms, COVID, and YOUR malignant narcissism.

Photo credit: Ethan Johnson.

By means of explanation, the Floyd County Health Department commented today.

---

Prom Event at The Grand

July 14 2020

"The Floyd County Health Department has been made aware of a dance event held on July 10, 2020 at The Grand in New Albany Indiana that was attended by approximately 200 juniors and seniors from New Albany High School. This event was not sanctioned by New Albany High School. The number of attendees are within limits set forth by Governor Holcomb. However, news photos clearly show the lack of social distancing and use of face masks by the participants.

"Due to the recent Increase in Covld-19 cases in Floyd County, the Floyd County Health Department recommends that everyone wear masks and practice social distancing. If you attended the event at The Grand and develop symptoms of Covld-19 please contact the Floyd County Health Department for testing at 812-948-4726."

---

Facebook link here.

I'm not shaming the kids. That would be a cop-out. They're merely following the breathtakingly bad examples set by their elders.

COVID-19 is the most significant public health crisis in my lifetime, and what's the response?

Parents who refuse to parent.

Elected officials who refuse to govern.

Purported adults who refuse to think.

As always, lots of talk about freedoms, but crickets chirp when the subject shifts to responsibility. I suppose it makes perfect sense if you're an adherent to the notion of "survival of the fittest," except we're not the animal kingdom in a wilderness setting.

Human civilization itself is testament to our communal and collective capabilities. Stripping away these layers painstakingly built over centuries so that robber baron capitalists can make even more money is the ultimate expression of anti-social behavior, and yet this is what we've chosen to venerate: selfishness, greed, narcissism, materialism, ignorance.

But it isn't your willingness to dismiss science and risk your own life (although the fact that you're not making recreational jumps off tall buildings leads me to believe you still accept the laws of gravity) that bothers me, it's the narcissism -- your eagerness to drag the rest of us down with you.

As an atheist, I'm having a hard time understanding how Jesus justified this attitude; then again, the Bible was written long ago, prior to scientific knowledge as we know it now. Karma and an overview of how diseases are transmitted combine to restrain me from throwing my hands into the air and saying fine, harm yourself. That's because in harming yourself in an epidemiological sense, you're putting others at risk.

And because it's all about YOU, we're supposed to accept your gracious gift of willful ignorance with good humor?

Go ahead. Growl and scream; curse the libtards; reference FOX news or a meme written by a bot in one of the Stans; display your penis-enhancement firearms, rev your engines; and tell me again how it's just the flu.

Thing is, COVID isn't paying attention to any of your empty-headed theatrics. At long last we have a role model for perfect impartiality, without bias or partisan politics.

And it's a virus.

I hope none of the kids become ill.

---

See also this:

Typically toothless city council mask resolution proves that even a pandemic can't compel New Albany’s Democrats to actually GOVERN.

Monday, July 13, 2020

Typically toothless city council mask resolution proves that even a pandemic can't compel New Albany’s Democrats to actually GOVERN.


Local Democrats have adhered to the Warren Nash Dictum for the past half-century. It goes like this: "Talk like a liberal, perform like a conservative."

Vote slated on resolution requesting use of face coverings in public (Suddeath; N&T)

The assumption, which to my knowledge has yet to be proven wrong, is that any genuine left/liberal-minded person in New Albany will be content with mere words, not action, and still vote Democratic; meanwhile, the Strom Thurmond Democrats -- still far too much of a thing here -- will vote Democratic for many of the city offices while happily supporting Republicans higher up the ticket.

It's just that simple.

Resolutions are always meaningless; to float one during a public health crisis, declare victory and walk away is, well, disgusting.

What's worse, everyone involves knows it, and yet they gaze at the teleprompter, play their parts, mouth their lines without a trace of conviction, and look forward to the redevelopment commission meetings because the real business of decision-making is conducted by an appointed board.

All right, self-styled progressives. Now we can kick back and wait for Republicans at the state level to take the proper response to the pandemic; we might start trying locally, but our Democrats can't be bothered to govern.

Sorry, love you guys in an ideological sense, but you're prepared to continue rewarding local Democrats for doing nothing, even during a pandemic.

Why can't you see this?

Sunday, July 12, 2020

Cognitive dissonance during COVID: "Although it’s difficult, changing our minds is not impossible."


The article linked here about cognitive dissonance is short, concise and includes an interesting anecdote about the Israeli reaction to Ronald Reagan visiting Bitburg.



The pretzel logic has gotten so bizarre that earlier this afternoon, I was admonished by Democrats for being "political" when I suggested the obvious: New Albany is controlled by Democrats, and therefore we could have a mask ordinance tomorrow if the five-member Democratic majority simply voted in favor.

Cognitive dissonance?

You bet. It also just might be true that losing your mind is easier when you didn't have one to begin with.


The Role of Cognitive Dissonance in the Pandemic
, by Elliot Aronson and Carol Tavris (The Atlantic)

The minute we make any decision—I think COVID-19 is serious; no, I’m sure it is a hoax—we begin to justify the wisdom of our choice and find reasons to dismiss the alternative.

Members of Heaven’s Gate, a religious cult, believed that as the Hale-Bopp comet passed by Earth in 1997, a spaceship would be traveling in its wake—ready to take true believers aboard. Several members of the group bought an expensive, high-powered telescope so that they might get a clearer view of the comet. They quickly brought it back and asked for a refund. When the manager asked why, they complained that the telescope was defective, that it didn’t show the spaceship following the comet. A short time later, believing that they would be rescued once they had shed their “earthly containers” (their bodies), all 39 members killed themselves.

Heaven’s Gate followers had a tragically misguided conviction, but it is an example, albeit extreme, of cognitive dissonance, the motivational mechanism that underlies the reluctance to admit mistakes or accept scientific findings—even when those findings can save our lives. This dynamic is playing out during the pandemic among the many people who refuse to wear masks or practice social distancing. Human beings are deeply unwilling to change their minds. And when the facts clash with their preexisting convictions, some people would sooner jeopardize their health and everyone else’s than accept new information or admit to being wrong.

Cognitive dissonance, coined by Leon Festinger in the 1950s, describes the discomfort people feel when two cognitions, or a cognition and a behavior, contradict each other. I smoke is dissonant with the knowledge that Smoking can kill me. To reduce that dissonance, the smoker must either quit—or justify smoking (“It keeps me thin, and being overweight is a health risk too, you know”). At its core, Festinger’s theory is about how people strive to make sense out of contradictory ideas and lead lives that are, at least in their own minds, consistent and meaningful.

One of us (Aronson), who was a protégé of Festinger in the mid-’50s, advanced cognitive-dissonance theory by demonstrating the powerful, yet nonobvious, role it plays when the concept of self is involved. Dissonance is most painful when evidence strikes at the heart of how we see ourselves—when it threatens our belief that we are kind, ethical, competent, or smart. The minute we make any decision—I’ll buy this car; I will vote for this candidate; I think COVID-19 is serious; no, I’m sure it is a hoax—we will begin to justify the wisdom of our choice and find reasons to dismiss the alternative. Before long, any ambivalence we might have felt at the time of the original decision will have morphed into certainty. As people justify each step taken after the original decision, they will find it harder to admit they were wrong at the outset. Especially when the end result proves self-defeating, wrongheaded, or harmful.

The theory inspired more than 3,000 experiments that have transformed psychologists’ understanding of how the human mind works. One of Aronson’s most famous experiments showed that people who had to go through an unpleasant, embarrassing process in order to be admitted to a discussion group (designed to consist of boring, pompous participants) later reported liking that group far better than those who were allowed to join after putting in little or no effort. Going through hell and high water to attain something that turns out to be boring, vexatious, or a waste of time creates dissonance: I’m smart, so how did I end up in this stupid group? To reduce that dissonance, participants unconsciously focused on whatever might be good or interesting about the group and blinded themselves to its prominent negatives. The people who did not work hard to get into the group could more easily see the truth—how boring it was. Because they had very little investment in joining, they had very little dissonance to reduce.

The term cognitive dissonance has since escaped the laboratory and is found everywhere—from op-eds and movie reviews to humor columns (as in The New Yorker’s “Cognitive Dissonances I’m Comfortable With”). But few people fully appreciate the mechanism’s enormous motivational power—and the lengths people go to in order to reduce its discomfort.

For example, when people feel a strong connection to a political party, leader, ideology, or belief, they are more likely to let that allegiance do their thinking for them and distort or ignore the evidence that challenges those loyalties. The social psychologist Lee Ross, in laboratory experiments designed to find ways to reduce the bitter conflict between Israelis and Palestinians, took peace proposals created by Israeli negotiators, labeled them as Palestinian proposals, and asked Israeli citizens to judge them. “The Israelis liked the Palestinian proposal attributed to Israel more than they liked the Israeli proposal attributed to the Palestinians,” he told us. “If your own proposal isn’t going to be attractive to you when it comes from the other side, what chance is there that the other side’s proposal is going to be attractive when it actually comes from the other side?”

Because of the intense polarization in our country, a great many Americans now see the life-and-death decisions of the coronavirus as political choices rather than medical ones. In the absence of a unifying narrative and competent national leadership, Americans have to choose who to believe as they make decisions about how to live: the scientists and the public-health experts, whose advice will necessarily change as they learn more about the virus, treatment, and risks? Or President Donald Trump and his acolytes, who suggest that masks and social distancing are unnecessary or “optional”?

The cognition I want to go back to work or I want to go to my favorite bar to hang out with my friends is dissonant with any information that suggests these actions might be dangerous—if not to individuals themselves, then to others with whom they interact.

How to resolve this dissonance? People could avoid the crowds, parties, and bars and wear a mask. Or they could jump back into their former ways. But to preserve their belief that they are smart and competent and would never do anything foolish to risk their lives, they will need some self-justifications: Claim that masks impair their breathing, deny that the pandemic is serious, or protest that their “freedom” to do what they want is paramount. “You’re removing our freedoms and stomping on our constitutional rights by these Communist-dictatorship orders,” a woman at a Palm Beach County commissioners’ hearing said. “Masks are literally killing people,” said another. South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem, referring to masks and any other government interventions, said, “More freedom, not more government, is the answer.” Vice President Mike Pence added his own justification for encouraging people to gather in unsafe crowds for a Trump rally: “The right to peacefully assemble is enshrined in the First Amendment of the Constitution.”

Today, as we confront the many unknowns of the coronavirus pandemic, all of us are facing desperately difficult decisions. When is it safe to get back to work? When can I reopen my business? When can I see friends and co-workers, start a new love affair, travel? What level of risk am I prepared to tolerate? The way we answer these questions has momentous implications for our health as individuals and for the health of our communities. Even more important, and far less obvious, is that because of the unconscious motivation to reduce dissonance, the way we answer these questions has repercussions for how we behave after making our initial decision. Will we be flexible, or will we keep reducing dissonance by insisting that our earliest decisions were right?

Although it’s difficult, changing our minds is not impossible. The challenge is to find a way to live with uncertainty, make the most informed decisions we can, and modify them when the scientific evidence dictates—as our leading researchers are already doing. Admitting we were wrong requires some self-reflection—which involves living with the dissonance for a while rather than jumping immediately to a self-justification.

Understanding how dissonance operates reveals a few practical lessons for overcoming it, starting by examining the two dissonant cognitions and keeping them separate. We call this the “Shimon Peres solution.” Peres, Israel’s former prime minister, was angered by his friend Ronald Reagan’s disastrous official visit to a cemetery in Bitburg, Germany, where members of the Waffen SS were buried. When asked how he felt about Reagan’s decision to go there, Peres could have reduced dissonance in one of the two most common ways: thrown out the friendship or minimized the seriousness of the friend’s action. He did neither. “When a friend makes a mistake,” he said, “the friend remains a friend, and the mistake remains a mistake.” Peres’s message conveys the importance of staying with the dissonance, avoiding easy knee-jerk responses, and asking ourselves, Why am I believing this? Why am I behaving this way? Have I thought it through or am I simply taking a short cut, following the party line, or justifying the effort I put in to join the group?

Dissonance theory also teaches us why changing your brother-in-law’s political opinions is so hard, if not impossible—especially if he has thrown time, money, effort, and his vote at them. (He can’t change yours either, can he?) But if you want to try, don’t say the equivalent of “What are you thinking by not wearing a mask?” That message implies “How could you be so stupid?” and will immediately create dissonance (I’m smart versus You say I’m doing something stupid), making him almost certainly respond with defensiveness and a hardening of the belief (I was thinking how smart I am, that’s what, and masks are useless anyway). However, your brother-in-law may be more amenable to messages from others who share his party loyalty but who have changed their mind, such as the growing number of prominent Republicans now wearing masks. Senator Lamar Alexander from Tennessee said, “Unfortunately, this simple, lifesaving practice has become part of a political debate that says: If you’re for Trump, you don’t wear a mask; if you’re against Trump, you do... The stakes are much too high for that.”

This nasty, mysterious virus will require us all to change our minds as scientists learn more, and we may have to give up some practices and beliefs about it that we now feel sure of. The alternative will be to double down, ignore the error, and wait, as Trump is waiting, for the “miracle” of the virus disappearing.