Sunday, May 09, 2010

UK election: Lib Dem coalition with Labour?

As previewed here in early March, the British have had their election, and "nobody won." Now what?

The scenario outlined in the Guardian's editorial below is less implausible than it might seem at first glance. A coalition of all non-Tory parties, including Scots and Welsh nationalists and a stray Green, would total roughly the 326 seats needed to keep the still reviled Conservatives safely away from #10 Downing St. However, there is some question whether the non-right should even bother, given the approaching painful phenomenon that Thomas Friedman refers to as "root canal politics" in today's New York Times.
To seize this historic moment, the Lib Dems must turn to Labour ... To ensure the country's support, Gordon Brown must announce his plans to step down, a Guardian editorial.

Nobody won. That is the basic definition of a hung parliament. The newly elected members might not see it that way. The leaders of the three main parties might couch the results of last week's election in historical and statistical terms that make them feel better. But the fact remains: nobody won.

The Conservatives have the most plausible claim to some kind of victory. They took the highest national share of the vote and gained 97 seats. But Mr Cameron was battling to restore majority Conservative rule. He campaigned vigorously against a hung parliament, all but demanding unchecked power. He was rebuffed: 10.7 million people voted for Tory government; more than 15 million people did not.

But the non-Tory vote was divided, largely between Labour and Liberal Democrats. Despite many local skirmishes, there is a strain of cousinly feeling in both parties that sees the Tories as a common enemy. From that impulse now springs the idea that Labour and the Lib Dems could join forces to prevent Mr Cameron from taking power.

8 comments:

bayernfan said...

I've been following BBC election coverage on twitter and the most "tweeted" answer to this question is that it's possible for the Tories to align with the Lib Dems. But that would be like the Tea Baggers getting together with MoveOn.org to rally. I can't see that happening.

Point being, parties from such opposite ends of the spectrum can't continue a coalition for long. We may have a fairly quick dissolution of Parliament with that kind of coalition. England has, in the past, had two general elections in one year. Don't know if it would be that quick, but I could certainly see it happening.

bayernfan said...

Just read this morning that the Lib Dems might agree to a coalition with Labour IF Gordon Brown steps down as PM.

bayernfan said...

Brown has stepped down in an effort to forge the Lib Dem/Labour coalition.

RememberCharlemagne said...

A Conservative and Liberal Democrat government is not unheard of in England.

In Birmingham, England’s second largest city, there has been a Conservative/Liberal Coalition for six years that has worked out well for Birmingham citizens. The same could happen at the state level.

I always liked the idea of pluralism and wish America had more choices then the two party system employed now.

bayernfan said...

City government vs National government is quite a difference. As we see in our large cities everyday, ideology doesn't really affect decisions like they do on the national stage which is probably why this type of arrangement has never happened in England. We saw it fail in Germany after the 2005 election with the CDU/CSU/SPD coalition.

RememberCharlemagne said...

It will be interesting to see what happens.

bayernfan said...

Tory Cameron is the new PM...Brown resigns effectively immediately and it appears that there will be a Con/Lib Dem coalition...the Conservatives have put a few tax breaks they wanted to push through on hold while giving the Lib Dems the opportunity to act on their electoral reforms (which Conservatives say they oppose)..

Should be interesting...

RememberCharlemagne said...

Yes, I heard it on the way home.

I wonder if Vegas is taking odds.

But on a serious note I still like the pluralism concept, wish we had greater diversity in the political system here.

Most of the time I don't feel like any one of the parties speaks for me.

I have been surprised with Obama.

The funny thing is he is doing a lot of the things Bush got lambasted for.